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131
of automation at the expense of semiautomatic operation was voiced
throughout.
The laser beam welding process was mentioned for future growth, and
the specialized process friction stir welding was also targeted for expanded
use. Other processes mentioned for increased use were resistance welding,
plasma arc welding and capacitor discharge welding.
- Do you foresee a shortage of skilled welders in your area of business
during 1999; in the next decade?
Without question, the majority of replies indicated there is a shortage
now and there will be a shortage in the future. The breakdown was 72%
consider the situation problematic now and for the long term, 14% did not see
a shortage and the remaining 14% either see no shortage now, but expect one
in the future or see a shortage for 1999, but not for the future.
John Emmerson, president, Magnatech Ltd. Partnership, made a typical
comment for those who see a far reaching problem, "There is a shortage of
skilled welders everywhere in the world, and it is only getting worse as each
year passes. Despite the fact that welding is used in virtually every industry,
it seems virtually ignored as a manufacturing science. Connecticut [the state
of location for Magnatech], for example, dropped its Vo-Tech welding
classes in 1997. In addition, population dynamics in recent years in the U.S.,
Europe and Japan indicate that the next decade will see a much smaller
number of young people entering the work force. This, by itself, will result in
fewer welders."
ESAB's Plotica had a similar take on the situation, "There is a shortage
of skilled welders now in most major market areas, and this shortage will
worsen unless substantial programs are implemented to promote welding as
an attractive career choice for young people."
Landon of Vermeer Manufacturing stated, "We have had a shortage for the
past five years. I see no turnaround, and we will not see a turnaround until the
establishment acknowledges welding as a viable career path. To meet our
immediate demands, the company has developed its own welder training
program. The company is also involved in proactive programs that make
instructors at high schools and area colleges aware of welding as a viable
career."
Connell of Detroit Edison, does not see an immediate problem, as he
encouragingly stated, "There is a renewed interest in the boilermaker's
welding program, bringing in a good influx of people. I don't foresee a
shortage in 1999." Another respondent took a contrary view, noting a
shortage of skilled welders in 1999, but projecting a leveling of demand in
the next decade.
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