Английский для экономистов и менеджеров. Ульянова О.В - 10 стр.

UptoLike

ВУЗ: 

ТПУ | Томск

Составители: 

Рубрика: 

forecast прогноз
evidence свидетельство, факт
pattern образец, принцип
outcome результат, исход
challenge трудная задача
similarity
turn out
long range trends долгосрочные
тенденции
to be involved быть вовлеченным
stock exchange фондовая биржа
variable переменная
linear systems
21 Read and listen to the first part of the interview and find the an-
swers to questions in Activity 18.
Interviewer = I
Asha Badlani = A
I: Asha, chaos theory seems to be a branch of physics or mathematics.
You’re an economist, so how does it influence your line of work?
A: Well, in a number of ways. I’m responsible for financial development
programs in many parts of the world, so forecasting long range trends and
making predictions on the basis of present evidence is what I do. Chaos the-
ory was developed by scientists trying to explain the movement of the planets
and changes in environmental conditions. Both of these things are also about
making long term predictions on the basis of present evidence.
I: Are many economists involved in this field?
A: An increasing number. In the 1990s a lot of economists began to look at
chaos theory as a way of providing models for forecasting.
22 Read and listen to the second part of the interview and fill in the
words.
constants forecasting patterns
variables similarities
I: What kind of “models” are we talking about here?
A: Well, that’s a good question, because of course the basic idea of chaos
theory is that there aren’t any models as such – there aren’t guaranteed forms,
but rather 1__________________ of change and development.
I: Doesn’t that mean that 2___________________ is impossible?
A: No, but it certainly makes it more of a challenge. Mandelbrot, who did the
experiment with stock exchange prices, for example, noted that although the
outcomes were variable, there were in fact certain 3_______________. What

Страницы