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35
Med Sea Bubble
Even as Alan Greenspan frets about how to handle America’s
stock-market, bubble-watchers should spare a thought for policymakers
on the sun-soaked Mediterranean island of Cyprus. Investors there are
taking stock-market mania to new heights.
When it opened three years ago in Nicosia, the Greek-Cypriot
capital, the Cyprus Stock Exchange seemed set for a quiet life, with
daily turnover last year rarely topping 3m Cypriot pounds ($1,6m).
This year, huge demand for its 50-odd shares has pushed the index up
by more than 500 %. Daily trading volumes have topped $200m, and
traders scarcely flinch when the index jumps by 15 % in a day. Share
valuations are in the stratosphere: Bank of Cyprus, the largest listed
firm, has a price-earnings ratio of 70. What is going on?
One reason for the surge is that Cyprus is seen as a convergence
play – yes, really – now that it is in talks to join the European Union;
the prospect of closer ties with Greece, an EU member, has also
boosted takeover activity. Another factor is the increasing prospect of a
political settlement of Cyprus's long-standing division into Greek and
Turkish zones. Cyprus has also become a favourite destination for Rus-
sian money, some of which goes into the stock-market.
The main factor, though, has been simple herd mentality. As
soon as returns on shares started looking decent, ordinary Cypriots
piled in. Some have bet their life savings on the market; others have
borrowed to buy shares. Fittingly, in a country where beach restaurants
tend to raise prices rather than mark them down in the slow season, the
amateur investors – reckoned to be one in four adults – are more enthu-
siastic than financially savvy. Mamoun Tazi of Salomon Smith Barney
says most look at absolute numbers rather than fundamentals. A share
priced at 3 Cypriot pounds is good value; one costing 3 000 Cypriot
pounds sounds like a rip-off. Small wonder that listed companies have
been "adding value" by splitting their shares into smaller units.
All of which has caused plenty of headaches for the financial au-
thorities. The exchange was forced to close for most of September so
that bewildered brokers could clear a backlog of some 60 000 orders.
Investors must now stump up cash before placing buy orders; transac-
36
tion volumes have been restricted to 2 000 per session (a figure hit in
the first 13 minutes of one day last week).
Although the central bank has tried talking the market down, and
has asked banks to stop lending to would-be punters, they show no sign
of cooling. Almost every day since the exchange reopened, it has hit a
new high, despite the retreat of foreign investors and Cypriot institu-
tions. New listings are lapped up : a recent one was 50 times oversub-
scribed. Dinos Papadopoulos, the exchange's chairman, is hoping for an
orderly correction. He sees the euphoric mood "continuing for a while,
but after that it's hard to predict". Really?
1. Vocabulary notes:
1) fret – волноваться, тревожиться
2) mania – мания, увлечение
3) flinch – отступать, уклоняться
4) valuation – оценка, определение стоимости
5) surge – волна, резкий скачок
6) boost – поднимать, поддерживать, повышать
7) herd – стадо, толпа
8) pile in – забираться (куда-то), толпиться
9) fittingly – надлежащим образом, соответственно
10) adult – взрослый, зрелый, совершеннолетний
11) savvy – смекалка, здравый смысл
12) fundamental – принцип, основы
13) rip-off – воровство, грабеж, мошенничество, плагиат
14) bewildered – озадаченный, сбитый с толку
15) backlog – резерв, запас;
отставание
16) slump up – выкладывать деньги, платить наличными
17) talk down – перекричать, говорить с кем-либо свысока
18) punter – профессиональный игрок (на бирже)
19) bubble – дутое предприятие; волнение, шум (моря)
20) lap up – глотать, поглощать, умываться (перен.)
21) orderly – планомерно, организованно, регулярно
22) oversubscribe – превысить намеченную сумму
23) 50-odd – 50 с лишним
Med Sea Bubble tion volumes have been restricted to 2 000 per session (a figure hit in the first 13 minutes of one day last week). Even as Alan Greenspan frets about how to handle America’s Although the central bank has tried talking the market down, and stock-market, bubble-watchers should spare a thought for policymakers has asked banks to stop lending to would-be punters, they show no sign on the sun-soaked Mediterranean island of Cyprus. Investors there are of cooling. Almost every day since the exchange reopened, it has hit a taking stock-market mania to new heights. new high, despite the retreat of foreign investors and Cypriot institu- When it opened three years ago in Nicosia, the Greek-Cypriot tions. New listings are lapped up : a recent one was 50 times oversub- capital, the Cyprus Stock Exchange seemed set for a quiet life, with scribed. Dinos Papadopoulos, the exchange's chairman, is hoping for an daily turnover last year rarely topping 3m Cypriot pounds ($1,6m). orderly correction. He sees the euphoric mood "continuing for a while, This year, huge demand for its 50-odd shares has pushed the index up but after that it's hard to predict". Really? by more than 500 %. Daily trading volumes have topped $200m, and traders scarcely flinch when the index jumps by 15 % in a day. Share 1. Vocabulary notes: valuations are in the stratosphere: Bank of Cyprus, the largest listed 1) fret – волноваться, тревожиться firm, has a price-earnings ratio of 70. What is going on? 2) mania – мания, увлечение One reason for the surge is that Cyprus is seen as a convergence 3) flinch – отступать, уклоняться play – yes, really – now that it is in talks to join the European Union; 4) valuation – оценка, определение стоимости the prospect of closer ties with Greece, an EU member, has also 5) surge – волна, резкий скачок boosted takeover activity. Another factor is the increasing prospect of a 6) boost – поднимать, поддерживать, повышать political settlement of Cyprus's long-standing division into Greek and 7) herd – стадо, толпа Turkish zones. Cyprus has also become a favourite destination for Rus- 8) pile in – забираться (куда-то), толпиться sian money, some of which goes into the stock-market. 9) fittingly – надлежащим образом, соответственно The main factor, though, has been simple herd mentality. As 10) adult – взрослый, зрелый, совершеннолетний soon as returns on shares started looking decent, ordinary Cypriots 11) savvy – смекалка, здравый смысл piled in. Some have bet their life savings on the market; others have 12) fundamental – принцип, основы borrowed to buy shares. Fittingly, in a country where beach restaurants 13) rip-off – воровство, грабеж, мошенничество, плагиат tend to raise prices rather than mark them down in the slow season, the 14) bewildered – озадаченный, сбитый с толку amateur investors – reckoned to be one in four adults – are more enthu- 15) backlog – резерв, запас; отставание siastic than financially savvy. Mamoun Tazi of Salomon Smith Barney 16) slump up – выкладывать деньги, платить наличными says most look at absolute numbers rather than fundamentals. A share 17) talk down – перекричать, говорить с кем-либо свысока priced at 3 Cypriot pounds is good value; one costing 3 000 Cypriot 18) punter – профессиональный игрок (на бирже) pounds sounds like a rip-off. Small wonder that listed companies have 19) bubble – дутое предприятие; волнение, шум (моря) been "adding value" by splitting their shares into smaller units. 20) lap up – глотать, поглощать, умываться (перен.) All of which has caused plenty of headaches for the financial au- 21) orderly – планомерно, организованно, регулярно thorities. The exchange was forced to close for most of September so 22) oversubscribe – превысить намеченную сумму that bewildered brokers could clear a backlog of some 60 000 orders. 23) 50-odd – 50 с лишним Investors must now stump up cash before placing buy orders; transac- 35 36
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